The Right Reality: How Europe and North America is Changing

I.) Western Europe
III.) America
IV.) Canada: The Country that remains Liberal?

I.) Western Europe

Sweden: Sweden has been run by a Left-leaning Social Democrats majority since the 1980's. But the Status-quo is being challenged by two parties in the Moderates (who are center-right) and the far-right Sweden Democrats in their 2018 election. Back in 2014, the Social Democrats gained 112 seats, the Moderates gained 107 seats and the Sweden Democrats gained 20 seats. With the Migrant crisis and the revelation that Sweden now has a higher rape rate than any other Western country the Moderates are expected to win making it the first time since 1914 a non-Social Democrat Leader takes office. 

Norway: Norway is similar to Sweden in that it's Parliament has been Left-leaning for decades. In Norway the Left-wing Labor Party has been in power since 1927. There is a possibility that this will change as the Center-Right Conservatives is close to forming a minority Government: They have 48 seats compared to the Labor's 55 seats. 

Denmark: Denmark is the only Nordic country where there has been a balance between Right and Left-leaners in recent years. As it stands after the 2015 election: The Right-wing Venstre Party (which held power in 2011) has 47 seats, the Left-wing Social Democrats have 44 seats, and the far-right Danish People's have 22 seats. 

Belgium: The Belgium Parliament is dominated by the center-right New Flemish Alliance, Reformist Movement, Christian Democratic and Flemish and Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats. The President Charles Michel is also center-right. The Right has held power since at least October 2014. 

The Netherlands: Mark Rutte has been the Prime Minister of the Netherlands since October 2010. His People's Party for Freedom and Democracy is considered center-right.

Luxembourg: The President is Mr. Xavier Bettel who came to power before the Migrant Crisis in 2013. He is part of the Democratic Party which is considered Center-Right. 

Italy: The Italians elected Sergio Mattarella to be their President in February of 2015. Mr. Mattarella is now independent but he has traditionally leaned Left. Prime Minister Matteo Renzi was elected in February of 2014. Because the Migrant Crisis and a distrust for Muslims is common among Italians (69% of Italians have a negative view of Muslims who live in Italy1) it is fairly likely that Italy will elect a right-leaning leader in their next election; possibly one from the Forza Italia (Forward Italy) Party. 

Iceland: Iceland has an upcoming election on October 29, 2016. As it stands both the Independence Party (Right-leaning) and the Progressive Party (Center-Right) have 19 seats while the Left-leaning Social Democratic Alliance has 9 seats. The remaining 16 seats belong to minor parties. As it stands one of the Right-wing Governments is set to win. 

Spain: The leader is Mariano Rajoy who is part of the People's Party which is considered Right-Wing. Rajoy has won three elections: in 2011, 2015 and 2016. It is likely that Spain will stay to the Right.

Portugal: President Marcelo de Sousa of the Right-leaning Social Democratic Party was recently elected in November of 2015. However, the Assembly of the Republic is controlled by the Left-wing Socialist Party.

Ireland: The current Taoiseach (essentially Prime Minister) of Ireland is part of the Right-leaning Fine Gael since 2011 (although he was in a collation with Labor until 2016.) The President of Ireland however, is the Left-leaning Micheal J. Higgins who has was elected in 2011 and may remain President until 2018. Ireland is not heavily effected by the migrant crisis so that Ireland may stand out as electing a left-leaning Government in the near future. 

UK: Since Nigel Farage's British Independence Party helped presade Citizens of the United Kingdom to vote to leave the European Union there has been a rise of British Nationalism. The British had already had a Conservative Government which had maintained its power since 2015. It's unlikely the Labor Party will be able to win the 2020 election. Currently the Left-leaning Labor Party has 100 less seats than the Conservatives (there are 650 seats in total.)

France: In France it's between the New Right and the Left. The incumbent is Francois Hollande of the Socialist Party; the challenger is Marine Le Pen who is the leader of the Right National Front. If Mrs. Le Pen is elected in the Spring of 2017 she promises to host a referendum on whether or not France should leave the European Union.

Germany: In Germany the far-right Alternative for Germany is seeking power from the Christian Democratic Union of which Chancellor Merkel is the leader. Because the CDU is center-right and Germany has been most effected by the Migrant crisis there is no realistic expectation that the Political Left will seize any power in the October, 2017 election. September in 2013.


II.) America

The two major contenders for the Presidency of the United States are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump is a seventy year old man with a Scottish background. He made his life as a Business man in New York City; he later became a reality TV star on a show called "The Apprentice". Despite never being a Mayor, Governor or Member of Congress he decided to run for the Republican Party in the Summer of 2015, by July 2016 he was officially recognized as the Republican Nominee after defeating main contender Ted Cruz (a Right Wing Constitutionalist Conservative who was popular with Evangelicals.)

Hilary Clinton is a 68 years old women with a Welsh background. She became a Lawyer in 1973; two years later she married Bill Clinton who would go on to become President in 1992. She became a member of the Senate in 2002 and ran against Barrack Obama in 2008 in the Democratic Race. She was officially recognized as the Democratic Nominee in July, 2016. Her main adversary was Bernie Sanders (a Left-wing Socialist who was popular among young Leftists.)

Mr. Trump is most popular in the South-eastern and the Mid-Western states while Mrs. Clinton is most popular in large populated states like New York and California. One of the key deciding factors is whether or not Americans are satisfied with the Establishment in Washington or if they're willing to accept Trump for change. The real losers here are Conservatives: If Clinton wins there will be a total of twelve years of Left-leaning Democrat style Government while if Trump wins they will have to be under a President that in many ways is more Left-wing than any other Republican President.

The cultural effect of Mr. Trump being elected seems to be a propelled backlash against Political Correctness and the "Progressive" movement. The backlash is already gaining ground with or without an openly Politically Incorrect individual like Trump as President with help from networks like Canada's The Rebel and individuals like British Milo Yianpoulos.

As it stands Mrs. Clinton is most likely to become the next President and providing evidence that the 2010's has been considerably more Left-wing than in the 1990's.

III.) Canada

Out of all the countries in the West Canada is the most likely to be unaffected by the Rise of the Right. Federally, they elected Justin Trudeau a forty-four year old Progressive of the Liberal Party. Prime Minister Trudeau was elected on October 19, 2015; the Canada's vote again in 2019. And when Prime Minister Trudeau won he won big.

In 2011:
The Right-leaning Conservatives had 166 seats.
The Leftist New Democratics  had 103 seats.
The Left-wing Liberals had only 34 seats.

And yet after the 2015 election:
The Conservatives only had 99 seats.
The New Democratics had 44 seats.
And the Liberals had 184 seats.

Such a gain in power had never been seen in Canadian history. It is unlikely that the Liberals will lose more than 50 seats in 2019 and by 2023 the Wave of Conservatism may be over. The Convervatization of Canada relies on the usual failure of the present Government or the success of key European countries under Right-leaning Governments. The key European countries are the United Kingdom, France and Germany because most Canadians have ethnic ties to those countries.

If Donald Trump is elected and division among Americans leads to violence Canada will be less likely to support a New Right style Party Leader from the Conservatives.

Canadians aren't as Liberal as they seem to be however; in 2015 Canadians were asked about the Burka--the majority wanted it banned. More recently Canadians were asked if Immigrants should be screened for "Canadian Values"; once again the majority of Canadian said that they should be screened. While the support from the public exists but Politicians are hesitate to say it. The previous Prime Minister, Steven Harper, tried to use the Burka issue and although most Canadians agreed with him he still lost.

Provincially, the Provinces are leaning Left: British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario, Quebec*, Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Newfoundland all have Left-leaning Governments.

*: Although Quebec's Liberal Party is considered Center-Right it support socially Liberal policies.

Saskatchewan is run by the Saskatchewan Party and Manitoba is run by the Progressive Conservatives. Traditionally, Alberta has been Conservative but recently switched to the Leftist New Democratic Party. It is very likely that both Alberta and Ontario will have switched to the right by 2020.

It appears that if any country will miss the emerging Movement to the Right it's the Great White North.